Admirals Face Elimination Tonight

(Photo Credit: Toronto Marlies // Twitter)
(Photo Credit: Toronto Marlies // Twitter)

The Milwaukee Admirals consecutive run of twelve straight seasons of playoff hockey could end tonight with a Toronto Marlies victory over the Iowa Wild. The maximum number of points that the Admirals can produce in their final two games of the season would slot them at 83 points. The Marlies already own the first tiebreaker of regulation and overtime wins over the Admirals. A win tonight would give the Marlies 83 points and would successfully eliminate the Admirals from the 2015 Calder Cup playoff picture.

The Chicago Wolves recently locked themselves into the playoffs with a 1-0 shutout over the Wild. That leaves the eighth seed as the last remaining playoff spot for the Western Conference. The Marlies magic number to lock that spot up for themselves is 4 points but they only need the 2 points tonight to eliminate the Admirals.

The AHL tiebreak format goes as follows via AHL:

Between two teams:
a) wins (excluding shootouts)
b) points in season series between teams
c) goal differential
d) goals scored in season series between teams
e) intra-conference points percentage

Among three or more teams:
a) wins (excluding shootouts)
b) points percentage in combined season series
c) goal differential
d) goal differential in combined season series
e) intra-conference points percentage

The Marlies with a win tonight would have 83 points on the season. Regardless of how the Marlies win it they already own the first tiebreaker over the Admirals with 35 regulation or overtime wins on the season. Even if the Admirals win out in regulation or overtime this season they would have 83 points with 33 regulation or overtime wins.

Should the Marlies win, both the Hamilton Bulldogs and Lake Erie Monsters would still be alive. Those two teams would need to then win out with the Marlies losing their last three games of the season in order to advance on points alone. The eighth seed is completely up to the Marlies to secure. They could well eliminate the Admirals tonight and then clinch their playoff spot at the Admirals expense in Milwaukee on Friday.

Of note, the Marlies are being charged up recently by some bloke named Brendan Leipsic. He won this past week’s CCM/AHL Player of the Week honors by recording 7 points (5 goals, 2 assists) in 3 games. That includes a hat trick scored against the Adirondack Flames last Tuesday.

Will tonight be the final nail in the Admirals coffin? Is there any hope that the Admirals can somehow pull a rabbit out of the hat to make it in? Is it ironic how the Admirals need to rely on Iowa to win when the only real team they’ve done well against this entire season are the Admirals?

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3 thoughts on “Admirals Face Elimination Tonight”

  1. It’s probably the end tonight. Toronto has been playing some good hockey as of late. Leipsic is large part to it, he got off to a slow start with his new mates after the trade but now that he’s had time to gel with some of these guys he’s rolling like we all saw here. I called it in the comments section of the story of that trade that it would hurt us and that I wouldn’t be shocked if they knocked us out with Leipsic helping bury us. Well here we are and he’s gonna probably drive the stake right through our heart by whipping the Iowa Admiral Beaters. It’s been a disgusting season and thankfully its almost done.

  2. Not to be a downer, but I’d rather the Ads be eliminated tonight than on Friday. It’d be pretty depressing to be at the final home game of the season, with a big crowd because of the concert (I think, are Great White and Slaughter “big” draws anymore?) and lose it then. In all honesty, there’s no way the Ads make the playoffs this season, even if the Marlies happen to lose to the Wild in regulation tonight. It’s hard to be that upset in my mind. We’ve been pretty spoiled with year after year of making the playoffs. Also, I’d rather not make the playoffs as the 8th seed and just get embarrassed by the 1st seed. We’ve been the 8th seed in recent years, but I think this year, being the 8th seed is a far cry even from the 7th seed.

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